Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.005229 0.005777 0.006343 0.006972 0.007649 0.008356 0.009148
2025-01-05 0.004487 0.005286 0.006154 0.007163 0.008300 0.009537 0.010980
2025-01-12 0.003832 0.004742 0.005769 0.007003 0.008440 0.010051 0.011984
2025-01-19 0.003406 0.004396 0.005547 0.006972 0.008673 0.010627 0.013025
2025-01-26 0.003031 0.004065 0.005303 0.006874 0.008796 0.011048 0.013867
2025-02-02 0.002756 0.003829 0.005146 0.006856 0.008991 0.011541 0.014785
2025-02-09 0.002512 0.003608 0.004987 0.006817 0.009144 0.011971 0.015622
2025-02-16 0.002385 0.003528 0.004995 0.006978 0.009542 0.012700 0.016831
2025-02-23 0.002169 0.003311 0.004811 0.006876 0.009594 0.012991 0.017494
2025-03-02 0.002020 0.003173 0.004720 0.006888 0.009784 0.013452 0.018372
2025-03-09 0.001963 0.003160 0.004794 0.007117 0.010259 0.014282 0.019729
2025-03-16 0.001861 0.003074 0.004760 0.007195 0.010533 0.014852 0.020758
2025-03-23 0.001793 0.003038 0.004798 0.007375 0.010952 0.015631 0.022086
2025-03-30 0.001736 0.003012 0.004848 0.007574 0.011401 0.016457 0.023492
2025-04-06 0.001576 0.002820 0.004647 0.007407 0.011340 0.016597 0.023991
2025-04-13 0.001467 0.002699 0.004543 0.007374 0.011458 0.016976 0.024808
2025-04-20 0.001350 0.002557 0.004399 0.007272 0.011473 0.017211 0.025431
2025-04-27 0.001263 0.002457 0.004314 0.007253 0.011601 0.017600 0.026265
2025-05-04 0.001177 0.002354 0.004219 0.007212 0.011694 0.017938 0.027030
2025-05-11 0.001146 0.002341 0.004262 0.007380 0.012094 0.018709 0.028403
2025-05-18 0.001056 0.002221 0.004129 0.007274 0.012085 0.018902 0.028974
2025-05-25 0.000998 0.002152 0.004076 0.007286 0.012250 0.019341 0.029892
2025-06-01 0.000988 0.002171 0.004166 0.007526 0.012758 0.020279 0.031524